October 28, 2009

Old and New and Future Stats

Stats for past three weeks
Week Five (no interceptions!)

Week Six

Week Seven


Categories for Week Eight will be Passing Yards and Tackles.

These may be all wrong but...

Look at comments for Johnny's post to see why they might be wrong.

October 27, 2009

On The Block

Yo, so I don't know if anyone would be interested, but I'm looking for an upgrade at my QB2 spot over J. Campbell. I rate Campbell as a 15-20 QB leaning towards 15, so I'm really looking for a top 10 guy if it's gonna be worth me really giving up anyone major.

The only player that I would say is off limits is Rivers. (It would be pretty pointless to upgrade one just to downgrade the other.)

I'll also say that while I'm technically willing to trade MJD, I think his value is #2 overall just behind AP. So it would pretty much take an absolute knock my socks off (not really possible, Mythbusters tested it) offer.

Other than that, anyone is available. Let me know if you have any interest.

October 26, 2009

Week 7 Stats

Wow...

It looks like Kyle is going to win with 282 receiving yards. But Wally has 279 and I have 277.

Tough loss...

Don't ignore David's post about Leon Washington now just because this one is above it.

Leon Washington

So as many of you probably know, Leon Washington broke his leg. This is devastating to my team.

However, since this is a keeper league, and he is 'keeper' type player, he retains good value(obviously not as good as it was when he was healthy). I'm interested in fielding offers for him to anyone who feels they can make an offer for a quality player and/or draft picks for the upcoming season. So... who's interested in improving NEXT years team?!

I look forward to hearing from all you guys that may be interested. Otherwise I'll be happy to stick him on IR and keep him for the next year.

Thanks,

David Hamilton

October 20, 2009

Stats for Week Seven

The stats for week 7 will be Receiving yards and Sacks. For Josh's sake, I've gone ahead and picked the categories for the rest of the year. There is a slight advantage to one category for this year, but over the three year span this will/should even out.

I apologize that rushing yards have seemed to be ignored up to this point. To be fair Josh, this is week 7 in the first year of a three year league. There will be apparent "lopsidedness" at first, which is why you are upset. However, at any point in the three year span, as long as the categories are chosen randomly, there should be apparent "lopsidedness".

If you flip a coin 100 times, do you complain if the first 5 times are heads? No, because you know that over the course of the entire time, you are bound to get more even.

I hope everyone understands that every rule put into place has a purpose in this league, and this one is to award well balanced teams. If you are going after the 25pts for Receiving Yards, you are compromising your chances of gaining the 5 weekly points for Rushing and Passing Yards categories. That's the purpose of this. There will be some players that dominate categories. They will miss out when their chosen categories aren't picked. They will have an advantage when they are. A well balanced team can benefit every week by being competitive in each category, but not necessarily dominating any of them.

The actual numbers for past week and this week should be up soon. Should be. Soon.

October 16, 2009

This week's Stats.

This week's stats are Passing Yards and Interceptions. Complaints? Ask Tony Barriere.

I understand that there's been some unexpected continuity with Interceptions. Over the three years of play, the categories should be much more evenly dispersed. And yes, it makes sense to look at this over the three-year term vs. the one year term. If you have more complaints, I suggest you look at a Statistics book and consult the Normal Distribution.

Last week's stats will be up by 1pm today.

October 14, 2009

This week was all about Pauly

He whoops up on Pat's Dad (his official title), and in the process nabs the honors for both of this weeks categories. Nicely done.

October 10, 2009

Good stuff from Page Deux

This blog needs to lighten up and this made me laugh. (A lot more than Pat's stupid fake accidents.) (I laughed a little at the first one.)


Click here!


(Sorry, Pat's stupid blog won't let me post it as a link, so you'll have to copy & paste.)

October 8, 2009

Tony Romo

I want to trade Tony Romo and another player for a different QB. I'm also open to a trade for another QB that doesn't involve Romo. Make me an offer!

October 7, 2009

Should a league be a democracy?

So David's comment about "[Pat making the decision...and that's all that matters]" got me to thinking about this. Here's my stance, and I'd like to here what others think(though I'll probably only get John, David and Pat's since it seems we're the only ones ever on here).


I don't think a league should be a democracy. But I do think that a league should be lead by a benevolent dictator. I think that it's too much of a pain to have everyone voting on everything in a fantasy league (votes for every scoring option, votes for every trade, votes for every rule, etc.), but I do think that everything should be up for discussion. And I think that if it is clear from a discussion (or a vote if necessary) that most of the league is against something then the league manager should take that into consideration, and more often than not I think the LM should change whatever it is the majority wants changed (within reason and within the right timing). A fantasy football league is made up of 10 or in this case 12 guys looking to have a good competitive time for the football season, and if there is something that the majority of those guys don't like then it should (more often than not) be changed. A FF league isn't about the commissioner, it's about the league, and the league is the guys that make it up.

This latest gripe about the waivers is the perfect example. Now it seems that most of the league likes the way the waivers are set up, so I think that they should stay the way they are (even though I don't prefer it this way).

But lets say for arguments sake that 11/12 league members don't like the rule. The only guy that likes it is the one guy that happens to work Sundays. So the league manager, not even liking the rule himself, decides to make a long waiver period. The rest of the league complains and it is clear that only the 1 guy wants it this way. With my idea of the "benevolent dictator LM" I think the league manager has two options here and both give the priority to what the league wants. The first is to tell the guy that works Sunday that maybe this isn't the league for him (this is I think the worse option). The second is to say to the league "Hey guys, so this guy really wants to be in the league, but he works Sundays and doesn't want to be at a severe disadvantage by not ever being able to get good spur of the moment FA pickups. What about having a very short waiver period just to give Joe the same opportunity everyone else has." (This, I think, is the better option)

I just think that with a competative active league where all the players care about the league and how things work, it's better to find out what everyone wants rather than have 1 guy choose.

But, if 7/12 of you disagree then I have to (by my own ideology) defer to the masses.

Seriously... The Waivers Settings

The current waiver setup is getting ridiculous. Is there anyone in this league that wants the waivers setup this way other than Pat? Is there any other league in existence that is setup this way? The only players that should go to waivers are the players that are dropped by someone.

A HUGE part of FF is being the first to pickup a guy when he becomes relevant and the 3-day waiver rule is completely removing that aspect.

Also, was anyone aware that the waivers were setup this way before Week 1 was over and we saw all the players on waivers?

Pat, please AT LEAST consider changing it and/or finding out how the rest of the league feels.

Also, anyone in the league who reads this, please express your opinion.

October 6, 2009

Week 4 Stats and more!



Thanks Josh for showing me a better way to display this!

Week Five stats will be Passing Yards and Sacks. If you have a problem, ask Tony Barriere, he picked 'em this week!

Since Johnny is too lazy...

October 3, 2009

Week Three Stats and Week Three Winners


So the winners for Week Three are Miguel with Receiving Yards and Tonies with Interceptions.

Am I the only one that has noticed those have been the stats for three weeks? I am surprised people aren't compaining about it.

Good luck and God speed.

Why a top WR isn't worth a top RB

Ok, so I have to preface this argument with the fact that sometimes for some teams, it may be worth it to overpay for a top WR by giving up a top RB. However, my argument is that in general, as far as the actual value of the top players at each position is concerned, the worth of RBs (and QBs for that matter) is far superior to that of WRs. This is especially pertinent this year because there was so much talk from the analysts about how RB was so deep and WR was so shallow. While it may be true that RBBC (running back by committee) has spread the production out at the RB position resulting in greater supply of productive backs, and it also may be true that there are fewer "elite" WRs in the game now than there have been in past years. Neither of these facts (if they are facts after all) changes the statistical reality that I am about to present. And that reality is that WR is a much less productive position than RB in fantasy football, and because of this RBs should be valued higher in drafts and in trades.

For starters, lets just look at the average production for the two positions. Below I've posted some stats for the two positions. What these stats show very clearly is that the RB position is much more productive than the WR position. The numbers are the averages over the past 2 years for each ranking bracket for each position.

Average production for the top 5 RB- 275pts
Average production for the top 5 WR- 235pts Difference -40pts
(Keep in mind this includes the Brady/Moss crazy 2007 record year that will never be repeated.)

Average production for the 5-10 RB- 235pts
Average production for the 5-10 WR- 204pts Difference -31pts

Average production for the 10-15 RB- 203pts
Average production for the 10-15 WR- 185pts Difference -18pts

Average production for the 15-20 RB- 188pts
Average production for the 15-20 WR- 168pts Difference -20pts

Average production for the 20-25 RB- 163pts
Average production for the 20-25 WR- 155pts Difference -8pts

Ok, so a couple of things that we can see clearly here.

1) Running backs score a heck of a lot more points than WRs. Last year there was a total of...count em...1 WR in the top 25. Johnny Lee Higgens was the #23 overall ranked player. There were only 10 in the top 50.

2) This isn't only the case for the top guys, the trend continues throughout the ranks. Last year the #15 RB outscored the #15 WR by 46 points. The #20 RB outscored the #20 WR by 22 points.

3) If you listened to the talking heads at all this preseason you heard all about how "you'd better grab up one of the top WRs cause the production really drops off after the top 8 or 9 guys." Well sorry Matthew Berry, but the stats say the opposite. At all but one ranking position the drop off is greater for RBs than it is for WRs.

Top 5 to 5-10 drop off- RBs- 40 WRs- 21
5-10 to 10-15 drop off- RBs- 32 WRs- 19
10-15 to 15-20 drop off- RBs- 15 WRs-17
15-20 to 20-25 drop off- RBs- 25 WRs-13

So what does all this mean? I think it shows pretty clearly that there is no way around the fact that the top 25 RBs are much more valuable than the top 25 WRs. And a reasonable conclusion from this is that a strong RB corps is much more valuable to a FF team than a strong WR corps.

And before you ask, no it doesn't matter that we start 3 WRs and only 2 RBs. The drop off for WR ranks 26-36 is a measly 18 more points.

So, I'm sure only a couple of you are nerdy enough to take the time to read this and actually think about it, but let me know what you think, especially if you disagree. (It's kind of hard to disagree with cold hard facts though.)

October 2, 2009

Week 3 Stats and Week 4 Cats

Week 4 categories will be Receiving Yards and Interceptions.

Week three stats should be up shortly.

Week 2 Stats

Okay. I'm staying late at work to finish these, so be grateful you have such a dedicated commish.
No but really, I apologize for this being so late. I will have the week three up shortly, along with the stats for this week, and the winners from weeks two and three. Geesh, I'm behind!

October 1, 2009

Trade Offers

When someone offers you a trade please respond to it within a reasonable time frame or at least let the person who offered it know if and why you're waiting to respond. I feel it's a simple courtesy. When you offer a trade and it sits there for days and you don't get a response it can be quite frustrating and make it seem like the other person hasn't even noticed that they've received an offer.

Thanks!!!